As per the industry executives, the Airlines are locking in fuel hedges, lowering capacity, raising fares and retiring older jets to cope with rising costs of oil. It is recorded that the oil prices is the highest oil prices since 2014.

The fuel costs which have risen much faster than ticket prices, poses a particular threat to the profit scale of the industry.

On Monday, the International Air Transport Association forecasted that the combined profits of the airlines would be 12 percent lower than it had expected in December, at $33.8 billion in total, in large part because of costlier fuel.

Brent crude is trading at around $76 a barrel, up nearly 50 percent from a year ago.

On Monday, Air New Zealand chief executive Christopher Luxon told the sources, “At this point with rising fuel, you control costs, raise prices and you may have some fall off in demand and reduce capacity.”

“I think we are seeing pricing move up internationally and certainly yields come up as well,” he added.

IATA forecast passenger yields, a proxy for airfares, will rise by 3.2 percent this year, in the first annual gains since 2011, as airlines look to recoup rising costs.

American Airlines CEO Doug Parker also forecast that fares could rise as capacity is reined in amid higher oil prices.

China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd has said it would consider using newly launched yuan-denominated oil futures to hedge oil for the first time in a decade, but others, like Emirates and Delta Air Lines have no plans to return to hedging as a result of the recent oil price increases.

CAPA Centre for Aviation Executive Chairman Peter Harbison said, “I think rushing to get hedged when the prices go up is a bit dumb and when they go down they get complacent again.”

IATA chief economist Brian Pearce said hedging only delays the impact. He also said, “It stabilizes earnings; it doesn’t stop the rising costs happening.”

Other carriers, such as Singapore Airlines Ltd and Air New Zealand Ltd, are well-hedged at lower prices but are being forced to hedge at higher prices as those contracts end, in keeping with their internal policies.

For example, London-listed IAG, the parent of British Airways, hedges up to three years in advance on a rolling basis. That means 80 percent of its fuel is hedged for the current first three months, a number that drops to 10 percent in the final quarter of the three-year period.

“Whilst most of us have hedging in place, that hedging eventually runs out or gets replaced by new positions you have got, and it is a question then of what do you do?” Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd CEO John Borghetti said. “If you look at history, typically some of that cost has to be passed on at some point because you just simply can’t absorb it.”

European carriers are also hedged between 50 and 90 percent as a way to give them better control of costs.

Mia Noles
Mia Noles is a writer at the Ode Magazine. She holds a Bachelor of Arts English Literature Degree from Leeds University. Her specialty is Celebrity News, History, and World News. She is also a life enthusiast who loves traveling the world and taking part in humanitarian courses. You can contact her at mia@odemagazine.com.

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